NFL Prediction Markets: Where and How to Trade

NFL prediction markets are Yes and No contracts on football outcomes, such as a game winner, a spread or the Super Bowl, that pay 1 dollar each if you are right and nothing if you are wrong. Outside the US, Totalis, which we build, trades NFL games and the season winner on Hyperliquid and joins several games in one Combo; it isn't available to anyone in the US. In the US, trade them on Kalshi, Polymarket US or Robinhood.

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The price reads as a probability: a team at 62 cents has about a 62% chance, and you can sell before the result. A sportsbook sets the odds and takes the other side; on an exchange, other traders do (prediction markets vs sportsbooks covers the rest of the difference). Polymarket US says its platform "does not take the other side of your trades and does not set prices." Combos are the exception: a market maker quotes them and takes the other side.

Where can you trade NFL prediction markets?#

On five venues, which differ most in who can use them and how many NFL markets they list. As of 8 November 2026:

Platform	Availability	NFL markets	Combos on NFL	Fees	Custody
Totalis	Outside the US, with an invite code	Game winners, season winner	Yes, 2 to 5 legs	Combo 1.5% entry, 1% of profit; singles 0.1% plus Hyperliquid's fee	Totalis wallet and HyperEVM vault, USDC
Kalshi	US and many other countries	Games, spreads, totals, player markets, futures	Yes	Fee on expected earnings; maker fees on some markets	Kalshi cash balance, USD
Polymarket US	US residents	Winner, spread, total, futures, props	Yes, 2 to 10 markets	Taker fee by price and 30-day volume tier	Separate customer account, USD
Robinhood	US residents 18+; no sports in MD, MI, NV, OH, UT	Outcome, spread, totals, player contracts	Yes, up to 10 legs	Commission by price, plus exchange fee	Robinhood Derivatives account, USD
Polymarket (international)	Outside the US and other restricted countries	Moneylines, spreads, totals, quarters, props, futures	Sports combos	Sports taker rate 0.05	Polymarket smart wallet, crypto

Totalis trades Hyperliquid's HIP-4 outcome markets as singles on the HyperCore order book or as Combos held in its vault on HyperEVM. Singles usually pay a 0.1% builder fee plus Hyperliquid's outcome trading fee, and every charge is on the Totalis fees and limits page. It lists no NFL spreads, totals or props.
Kalshi is a designated contract market regulated by the CFTC that also takes traders from many countries outside the US. Its NFL markets on 8 November included game, spread, total-points, player and Super Bowl markets. Kalshi Combos are priced by RFQ and typically appear once starting lineups are final, per its market FAQs. Kalshi charges a fee on expected earnings.
Polymarket US trades in US dollars. Its sports FAQs list winner, spread, total, futures and player prop contracts, overtime counted, and its combos join 2 to 10 markets. Taker fees follow Θ × C × p × (1 − p), with Θ set by 30-day volume from 6 November 2026 per its fee schedule. Customer funds sit in a dedicated account separate from the company's.
Robinhood event contracts need US residency, age 18 and an approved derivatives account. Maryland, Michigan and Nevada residents can't trade sports contracts, and as of 2 November 2026 Ohio and Utah residents can't open new ones. Commission is capped at 1 cent a contract, plus an exchange fee of up to 1 cent, per the same page. Football combos of up to 10 legs run in the mobile app, per its trading guide.
Polymarket (international) listed 305 markets on one game on 8 November, Buccaneers vs. Bears. Its fee page sets the sports taker rate at 0.05, Combos run as an auction among makers, and funds sit in a Polymarket smart wallet.

We list venues whose own docs or public market data describe their NFL markets, checked on 8 and 9 November 2026. We build Totalis. For other leagues, see the best prediction markets for sports and NBA prediction markets; for venues beyond sports, Polymarket alternatives.

Can you trade NFL prediction markets in the US?#

Yes, on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Robinhood, subject to state limits. Not on Totalis: the Totalis Terms of Service bar US persons and anyone located in the US, and forbid using a VPN to get around that.

Polymarket's geographic restrictions page lists the United States as close-only on its international site. For Hyperliquid itself, see Hyperliquid and US users.

How does an NFL game market settle?#

On the league's official result, overtime included, with half paid to each side if the game ends tied. For example, as of 11 November 2026 Totalis listed "NFL Regular Season: Green Bay Packers v Minnesota Vikings", with Yes as GB and No as MIN, kickoff at 18:00 UTC on 15 November and the Packers at a 62% chance. Its rules say:

What counts: "The Counted Play is the full game including overtime."
Ties: "The market resolves to 0.5 if the Contest Result is a draw, records a no contest or no winner, names an unlisted winner, or is not established by 20261122-1800 UTC," 7 days after kickoff.
Locking: the result is fixed as the NFL's record stands one hour after the league publishes that the game is complete. Later corrections don't change it.

The season winner question, "2027 USA National Football League (NFL) winner", named six teams on 11 November, led by the Bills at 15% and the Chiefs at 9%. If another team wins, all six resolve No. A team resolves No once the NFL's record shows it can no longer win, and the deadline is 12:00 UTC on 21 February 2027, a week after Super Bowl LXI.

How do NFL Combos work on Totalis?#

A Totalis Combo joins 2 to 5 NFL picks into one position that pays its quoted payout only if every leg wins. Makers compete to quote it, and settlement starts within about 10 seconds of the deciding game resolving on HyperCore. The rules, from how a Combo is built, cashed out and settled:

Window: a game opens for Combos when kickoff is within 7 days and stays open while it is played, though Totalis can keep a market out. On 11 November all 14 NFL games Totalis listed, kicking off from 13 to 17 November (UTC), were open for Combos; the season winner question was due to open on 14 February 2027.
One leg per question: each game is its own market, so a Combo can hold up to five games, but one team from the season winner question and one side of any game.
Ties: a Combo pays its payout times the product of its legs' results, so a tied game at 0.5 halves the payout rather than voiding it.
Cash out: before the games finish you can ask makers to buy the Combo back. A maker can decline.

In the docs' fee example, a 10 USDC stake quoted to pay 25 USDC returns 24.8485 USDC on a full win, after both fees. Don't multiply leg prices to estimate a payout: games can be related, and the maker's quote is the price. Prediction market combos compares Combos with Kalshi's and Polymarket's.

How do you trade NFL markets on Totalis?#

Check you can use it. Totalis is for people outside the US; signing up takes an invite code.
Add USDC. Positions are in USDC, and Combo stakes sit in the Totalis vault on HyperEVM.
Pick your games. Trade one team alone on the HyperCore order book, or add up to five games to a Combo once each is within 7 days of kickoff, has a live price and is open for Combos.
Accept a quote. Makers quote the Combo's payout; you sign the one you want.
Cash out or let it settle. Ask makers to buy your Combo before the games finish, or wait: Totalis settles a resolved Combo and claims a win into your vault balance, and singles settle on Hyperliquid.

Trade this week's NFL games on Totalis if you are outside the US.

When are the 2026 NFL playoffs and the Super Bowl?#

The regular season ends on 9 and 10 January 2027. Wild Card Weekend starts on Saturday, 16 January, the Divisional Playoffs are on 23 and 24 January, and the conference championships are on 31 January. Super Bowl LXI is on Sunday, 14 February 2027, at SoFi Stadium, per the NFL's 2026 schedule announcement.

About the author#

Turk is a founding engineer at Totalis, the prediction market app on Hyperliquid.

Sources and further reading#

Totalis docs: trading, cash out and settlement, accessed 2026-11-09
Kalshi: football game contract terms, accessed 2026-11-09
Polymarket US: sports FAQs, accessed 2026-11-09
Robinhood: event contracts settlement, accessed 2026-11-09
NFL: 2026 schedule announcement, accessed 2026-11-09

FAQ#

Can you trade NFL markets on Kalshi?#

Yes, including combos. Outside the US, your country must not be restricted under Kalshi's Member Agreement; if it is, see Kalshi alternatives.

Can you trade NFL markets on Polymarket from the US?#

Use Polymarket US, the separate CFTC-regulated app. Polymarket's international site is close-only for US users.

What happens to an NFL prediction market if the game ends in a tie?#

A game-winner contract pays half to each side. Kalshi's football game contract terms pay $0.50 per team on a two-team tie, Polymarket US settles a tied winner contract at $0.50, Totalis resolves the market to 0.5, and Robinhood's settlement page says a tie typically pays $0.50 to both sides.

Does the NFL have a prediction market partner?#

Not in the league's own announcements. The NFL's 2026 partner announcement names three sportsbook operators, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, and no prediction market. Totalis's NFL markets state that they are not affiliated with the NFL.

Can you trade the Super Bowl winner?#

Yes. Kalshi and Polymarket list Super Bowl winner markets, Polymarket US offers championship futures, and Totalis lists the season winner question.

This article is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction market positions can lose their entire value. Availability of markets and features depends on your jurisdiction and each platform’s terms.