Spain vs England prediction and odds: Nations League predictions this week
8 min read
By the Totalis team. We build the combo platform for prediction markets on Hyperliquid.
Spain are favoured to beat England on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC: as of 13 November 2026, 22:50 UTC, the market traded on Totalis priced Spain at 56.3%, the draw at 22.8% and England at 20.8%. Polymarket and Kalshi both had Spain at 56.5% at the same time. We build Totalis, an app for Hyperliquid's HIP-4 outcome markets, which lists this week's Nations League matches as three-way markets you can trade alone or join in a Combo.
Contents
Spain vs England prediction: who is favoured?#
Spain are the favourites. As of 13 November 2026, 22:50 UTC, the three venues that list the match put Spain between 56.3% and 56.5%, the draw between 22.5% and 23.5% and England between 20.5% and 21.5%. A 56.3% price is about 1.78 in decimal odds, before fees.
| Outcome | Totalis (HIP-4), book mid | Polymarket, mid | Kalshi, mid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 56.3% | 56.5% | 56.5% |
| Draw | 22.8% | 23.5% | 22.5% ("Tie") |
| England | 20.8% | 20.5% | 21.5% |
Sources: the Totalis public markets API (question 633), Polymarket's Spain vs. England market and Kalshi's Spain vs England game market, all read at 22:50 UTC on 13 November. A mid is halfway between the best bid and the best ask; how prediction market odds and payouts work covers the conversion.
The table matters for the group. UEFA's state of play after Matchday 5 has Spain on 15 points and England on 12, both confirmed in the quarter-finals, and says Spain finish first if they avoid defeat. Spain won the reverse fixture, England 2-3 Spain, on 26 September, per UEFA's league phase fixtures and results. If England win, the teams finish level on points and the head-to-head criteria in article 15 of the competition regulations decide first place.
Nations League odds for every match this week#
These Nations League matches on Totalis kick off between 14 and 16 November; each name links to its market in the Totalis app. All times are UTC, from each market's scheduled start in the Totalis API; prices are book midpoints for home, draw and away, as of 13 November 2026, 22:50 UTC.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | Group | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 | Norway v Wales | A4 | 79.8% | 12.9% | 7.1% |
| Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 | Georgia v Hungary | B2 | 31.1% | 30.3% | 38.6% |
| Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 | Portugal v Denmark | A4 | 64.7% | 20.0% | 15.4% |
| Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 | Austria v Republic of Ireland | B3 | 60.7% | 22.9% | 16.7% |
| Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 | Romania v Poland | B4 | 23.5% | 24.8% | 51.7% |
| Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 | Sweden v Bosnia and Herzegovina | B4 | 63.8% | 21.2% | 14.9% |
| Sun 15 Nov, 19:45 | Spain v England | A3 | 56.3% | 22.8% | 20.8% |
| Sun 15 Nov, 19:45 | France v Türkiye | A1 | 79.0% | 13.2% | 7.6% |
| Sun 15 Nov, 19:45 | Belgium v Italy | A1 | 45.6% | 24.4% | 30.0% |
| Sun 15 Nov, 19:45 | Croatia v Czechia | A3 | 64.0% | 21.0% | 15.2% |
| Mon 16 Nov, 19:45 | Germany v Netherlands | A2 | 51.2% | 22.3% | 26.4% |
| Mon 16 Nov, 19:45 | Greece v Serbia | A2 | 65.8% | 20.4% | 13.7% |
| Mon 16 Nov, 19:45 | Switzerland v Scotland | B1 | 57.1% | 25.8% | 18.1% |
The biggest favourites were Norway and France, near 80%; the closest match was Georgia v Hungary, with all three outcomes between 30% and 39%.
How does the Nations League work in 2026/27?#
The league phase runs over six matchdays from 24 September to 17 November 2026, and this week holds Matchdays 5 and 6. UEFA's 2026/27 guide sets out the format: in League A, group winners and runners-up reach the quarter-finals on 25 to 30 March 2027, and the finals follow on 9 to 13 June 2027.
Lower places matter too. The two lowest-ranked fourth-placed teams in League A drop to League B, and League B group winners go up. The knockout and play-off draw is on 20 November.
How does a Nations League match market settle?#
On Totalis, each match is one HIP-4 question with three outcomes, and exactly one resolves Yes. The rules, shown on each market page and written by its deployer, Outcome, count regulation time only: 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time or a shoot-out never counts.
- Spain or England resolves Yes only if that team is the sole winner after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Draw resolves Yes if the scores are level then. It also resolves Yes if the result is a no contest, if the official result names an unlisted winner, or if no result is established by 22 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
- Source: UEFA's official record. A result UEFA awards by decision (after an abandonment or forfeit, for example) counts only if the 90 minutes were not completed. A postponed or replayed match between the same teams is still the same contest.
- Timing: the result is fixed as UEFA's record stands one hour after UEFA first publishes that play is complete. Later appeals or corrections don't change it.
HIP-4 outcomes are fully collateralized, with no leverage or liquidations; what HIP-4 is covers the mechanics.
Polymarket and Kalshi also count 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with different fallbacks. Polymarket's market resolves each outcome No if the game is cancelled or doesn't start by 17 November, 23:59 ET, settles from UEFA's records through the UMA optimistic oracle, and is close-only in the UK, France, Germany, Italy and other countries. Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match is cancelled or moved more than 48 hours, under its soccer game contract terms, and takes traders from many countries outside the US subject to its member agreement. For a wider comparison, see Hyperliquid vs Polymarket vs Kalshi.
Can you combine several Nations League matches in a Combo?#
Yes. As of 13 November 2026, every match above is open for Combos on Totalis. A Combo (what many people search for as a parlay) joins 2 to 5 outcomes from different matches into one position that pays in full only if every leg wins.
Two rules from the Combo trading guide apply. A Combo holds at most one outcome per match: Spain and Draw from the same question can't share one. And market makers price the whole Combo: you request a quote and take the best one. Don't multiply leg prices to estimate the payout, because legs can be related.
A three-leg example for Sunday:
- Spain, from Spain v England
- France, from France v Türkiye
- Croatia, from Croatia v Czechia
The position sits in the Totalis vault on HyperEVM until Hyperliquid's results settle it, and settlement starts within about 10 seconds of the deciding leg resolving. A Combo pays its payout times the product of its legs' results. Combo fees are 1.5% of stake on entry and 1% of profit, per the Totalis fees and limits page, with a maximum stake currently of 1,000 USDC. Prediction market Combos compares venues, and how multi-leg payouts are priced explains the quote.
Where can you trade Spain vs England?#
Totalis, Polymarket and Kalshi all list the match, at near-identical prices. Totalis is the one built for trading several matches at once:
- Every match in one place, open for Combos. Spain v England and the other matches above can join one Combo of 2 to 5 outcomes, quoted by competing market makers.
- Your own wallet. Singles trade on Hyperliquid's HyperCore order book and Combos settle in the Totalis vault on HyperEVM; your USDC stays in your wallet and the vault.
- Automatic settlement. Each market settles from UEFA's official record, and a Combo settles within about 10 seconds of its last leg resolving, with nothing to claim.
How do you trade Spain v England on Totalis?#
- Find the match. Open the Nations League page in the Totalis app and pick Spain v England; check the price and spread on each outcome.
- Sign up with an invite code. Totalis is not available to US persons or anyone in the US.
- Trade a single. Buy Yes on Spain, Draw or England; the order goes to the HyperCore order book. Singles in the app pay a 0.1% builder fee on filled value plus Hyperliquid's outcome fee.
- Or build a Combo. Add one outcome from Spain v England and up to four from other matches, then accept a maker's quote.
Trade Spain v England on Totalis
How to trade prediction markets on Hyperliquid walks through a first trade, and the best prediction markets for sports compares where to trade other leagues.
Sources and further reading#
- UEFA, Spain vs England match page, accessed 2026-11-13
- UEFA, 2026/27 league phase fixtures and results, accessed 2026-11-13
- UEFA, 2026/27 Nations League: all you need to know, accessed 2026-11-13
- Polymarket, Spain vs. England, accessed 2026-11-13
- Kalshi, Spain vs England, accessed 2026-11-13
- Totalis, Combo trading guide, accessed 2026-11-13
Related: prediction markets vs sportsbooks, Polymarket alternatives, Kalshi alternatives.
FAQ#
Who will win Spain vs England?#
No one knows before kick-off. As of 13 November 2026, 22:50 UTC, markets priced Spain at about 56%, a draw at about 23% and England at about 21%. Those are prices traders agree on, not forecasts or advice.
What time is Spain vs England?#
Sunday 15 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC, which is 19:45 in the UK and 20:45 in Spain (CET). It is Matchday 6 of Group A3.
What does England need to top the group?#
A win at least. Spain finish first if they avoid defeat. If England win, both teams end on 15 points and UEFA's head-to-head criteria, which start from Spain's 3-2 win in September, decide first place.
Does extra time count in a Nations League match market?#
No. Totalis, Polymarket and Kalshi all settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and ignore extra time and penalties.
What happens if Spain vs England is abandoned?#
On Totalis, a result UEFA awards by decision counts if the 90 minutes were not completed, and a rescheduled match is still the same contest. If no result is established by 22 November 2026, 19:45 UTC, Draw resolves Yes.
Where can I trade Spain vs England odds?#
On Totalis, as a single on Spain, the draw or England, or as one leg of a Combo with other Nations League matches. Polymarket and Kalshi also list the match.
Can you parlay Nations League matches?#
On Totalis the multi-match position is called a Combo: 2 to 5 outcomes from different matches, one per match, priced by market makers. Every match listed above was open for Combos on 13 November 2026.
This article is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction market positions can lose their entire value. Availability of markets and features depends on your jurisdiction and each platform’s terms.